tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-219871842008-07-02T03:48:51.588+02:00NEWSStaff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comBlogger195125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-33128263873175894692008-06-29T23:55:00.002+02:002008-06-29T23:59:51.703+02:00[OIL PRICES] OPEC Leader Khelil Says Dollar Will Drive Oil to $170<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries</span> President <span style="font-weight: bold;">Chakib Khelil</span> predicted that the price of oil will climb to $170 a barrel before the end of the year, citing the dollar's decline and political conflicts.<br /><br />``Oil prices are expected to reach $170 as demand for fuel is growing in the U.S. during the summer period and the dollar continues to weaken against the euro,'' Khelil said today in a telephone interview. The leader of the <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries</span> also serves as Algeria's oil minister.<br /><br />Political pressure on Iran and the depreciation of the U.S. currency have caused a surge in oil prices, Khelil said. New York- traded crude has more than doubled in a year and touched a record $142.99 a barrel yesterday on the <span style="font-weight: bold;">New York Mercantile Exchange</span>.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries</span> ministers generally say that oil output is sufficient, even as <span style="font-weight: bold;">Saudi Arabia,</span> the biggest producer, pledged to pump an extra 200,000 barrels a day next month to calm the market. ``The market is completely supplied,'' Venezuelan Oil Minister <span style="font-weight: bold;">Rafael Ramirez</span> said yesterday. Libya announced possible production cuts, calling the market oversupplied.<br /><br />The rising cost of crude is not linked to supply, Khelil said today. ``There is more than enough oil in the market to meet the international demand,'' added the <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries</span> president, who will take part June 30 in an international energy forum in Madrid.<br /><br />Prices, which are up 38 percent this quarter, are heading for the biggest quarterly gain since the first three months of 1999, when oil traded between $11 and $17.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;font-size:180%;" >Declining Dollar</span><br /><br />``<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 255, 51);">The decisions made by the U.S. Federal Reserve and the </span><span style="font-weight: bold; font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 255, 51);">European Central Bank</span><span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 255, 51);"> helped the devaluation of the dollar, which pushed up oil prices,</span>'' Khelil said.<br /><br />Oil may extend gains if the <span style="font-weight: bold;">European Central Bank</span> boosts rates on July 3, further weakening the U.S. currency. The dollar has declined 15 percent against the euro in 12 months.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">European Central Bank</span> President <span style="font-weight: bold;">Jean-Claude Trichet </span>reiterated June 25 that policy makers may increase the main refinancing rate by a quarter-percentage point next month to contain inflation. The Federal Reserve left the benchmark U.S. rate at 2 percent on June 25. On Sept. 18 the Fed began cutting rates to bolster an economy already reeling from the credit crisis.<br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Source: Bloomberg|By Ahmed Rouaba</span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-50595761569135938072008-06-24T23:05:00.001+02:002008-06-24T23:07:49.680+02:00[ASIA] Hong Kong govt plans to scrap fuel tax for public transport<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="color: rgb(153, 153, 153);">Hong Kong's government announced on Monday a plan to waive fuel taxes for public and commercial transport, following days of demonstrations by truck and bus drivers over surging oil prices.</span><br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(153, 153, 153);">The authorities hoped to get an approval from the legislature on scrapping taxes on Euro-five diesel by the end of next month, secretary for transport Eva Cheng told the city's lawmakers Monday. The environmentally friendly Euro-five is used by public transport vehicles such as buses, taxis and trucks.</span><br /><br />"Our decision is based on the principle of fairness. At present, all fuel taxes for sea and air commercial transport have been waived," she said.<br /><br />But there would be no change to the levies on the more polluting ultra-low sulphur diesel or petrol, commonly used in private cars, she said.<br /><br />Prices for petrol, at about 2 US dollars a litre, were generally higher than Euro-five diesel to encourage people to use public transport, a government spokesman told AFP. Mirroring the action of their European counterparts, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Hong Kong</span> drivers staged marches and slow-drive protests earlier this month as their earnings were substantially reduced by surging oil prices.<br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Source: <a href="http://afp.com">Agence France-Presse </a></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-52756050418145571912008-06-24T22:28:00.002+02:002008-06-24T22:31:15.759+02:00[ASIA] China stresses price stability after fuel hikes<div style="text-align: justify;">China's top economic planner has urged local authorities to ensure goods prices remain stable after the government hiked fuel prices by as much as 18 percent.<br /><br />The <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(51, 204, 0);">National Development and Reform Commission</span> said in a statement on its website that local officials should closely monitor liquefied petroleum gas and natural gas, whose prices were not increased.<br /><br />Local governments should also encourage producers to cut their costs rather than pass on rising prices to consumers, according to the statement, which was posted over the weekend.<br /><br />Inflation has emerged as a top policy concern in Beijing, with increases in the consumer price index near 12-year highs.<br /><br /><img style="margin: 0pt 0pt 10px 10px; float: right; cursor: pointer; width: 274px; height: 219px;" src="http://bp1.blogger.com/_m50azKGBdwU/SGFZbRg1QqI/AAAAAAAAHAE/6V8GTuzo-is/s400/china-oil-station-bg.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5215548168564196002" border="0" />China's inflation rate was 7.7 percent in May, easing only slightly from April's 8.5 percent, according to previously released data.<br /><br />Analysts have said they expect manufacturers will be able to absorb the higher fuel costs in the short term.<br /><br />Public transport fares including for buses, taxis and the railway should not be raised for the time being, and more subsidies should be allocated to taxis to cover losses incurred from rising fuel costs, the statement said.<br /><br />Beijing announced retail petrol and diesel price hikes on Thursday as it seeks to close the gap between state-set domestic caps and soaring world oil costs. <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 255, 102);">China's oil giants </span>saw little incentive to increase production to meet surging demand as they were said to be selling refined products at a loss, although it remains unclear if the price hikes have put them in the black.<br /><br />But economists said the hikes should prevent shortages as the country prepares to host the Olympics in August.<br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Source: <a href="http://afp.com/">Agence France-Presse</a></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-62846521107434825772008-06-21T13:47:00.003+02:002008-06-21T13:54:51.329+02:00[UNITED STATES] Oil Rises on Dollar's Drop, Mideast Tensions. U.S. Commodities<div style="text-align: justify;">Crude oil rose as the weaker dollar enhanced the appeal of commodities as a currency hedge and the New York Times reported that Israel held a rehearsal for a potential bombing attack on nuclear targets in Iran.<br /><br />Oil prices have almost doubled in the past year as investors sought refuge from a declining dollar, which fell again today after traders pared bets the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates on June 25. <span style="font-weight: bold;">Iran, OPEC</span>'s second-biggest oil producer, would respond to an Israeli attack with a ``heavy blow,'' a senior cleric said.<br /><br />``The only way to increase the value of the dollar is by increasing interest rates, which doesn't look likely,'' said Nauman Barakat, a senior vice president of global energy futures at Macquarie Futures USA Inc. in New York. ``The simulated attack of Iran by Israeli warplanes is certainly not going to reduce geopolitical tensions.''<br /><br />In other markets, coffee jumped the most in nine months on reduced shipments from Brazil, the biggest grower. Cattle also climbed. The UBS Bloomberg Constant Maturity Commodity Index gained 18.63 to 1,655.50 after reaching a record 1,668.25.<br /><br />Crude oil for July delivery rose $2.69, or 2 percent, to $134.62 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices declined 24 cents this week. Futures climbed to a record $139.89 on June 16.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">Coffee</span><br />In the first 19 days of June, Brazil's exports of arabica beans, the main variety traded in New York, fell 10 percent to 871,402 bags from the same period in May, according to the country's Coffee Exporters Council.<br /><br />``<span style="font-style: italic;">The coffee beans haven't been flowing,'</span>' said Boyd Cruel, an analyst with Alaron Trading in Chicago. A lack of selling is supporting prices, he said.<br /><br />Coffee futures for September delivery rose 7.05 cents, or 5.1 percent, to $1.467 a pound on ICE Futures U.S., the former New York Board of Trade. The percentage gain was the biggest since Sept. 17. Earlier, the price reached $1.485, the highest for a most-active contract since March 17. Coffee gained 7.2 percent this week and 25 percent in the past year.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">Cattle</span><br />Cattle rose to the highest since at least 1986 as U.S. beef prices surged and high corn costs prolong losses for feedlots, encouraging some producers to shrink their herds.<br /><br />Wholesale beef prices are the highest in 13 months, and domestic shipments of select and choice cuts yesterday totaled 14.9 million pounds, the most since Jan. 24, U.S. Department of Agriculture data show. Feedlot operators cut purchases of young cattle by 12 percent in May from a year earlier, the agency said after markets closed. Analysts projected a 8.9 percent drop.<br /><br />``When grain prices are this high, the cattle should be staying out in the pasture,'' said Mark Schultz, a vice president at Northstar Commodity Investments LLC in Minneapolis. Livestock producers will ``try to keep them in the pasture longer, to feed them less corn,'' he said.<br /><br />Cattle futures for August delivery rose 1.4 cents, or 1.4 percent, to $1.0485 a pound on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, after earlier reaching $1.0615, the highest for a most-active contract since at least April 1986.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">Commodities settled as follows:</span><br />Precious metals: August gold down 50 cents to $903.70 an ounce July silver down 7.3 cents to $17.397 an ounce July platinum up $6.60 to $2,062.40 an ounce September palladium unchanged at $479.20 an ounce<br /><br />Livestock: August live cattle up 1.4 cents to $1.0485 a pound August feeder cattle up 2.475 cents to $1.13575 a pound August lean hogs up 2.925 cents to 78.375 cents a pound July pork bellies up 0.775 cent to 72.95 cents a pound<br /><br />Grains: November soybeans down 12.5 cents to $15.09 a bushel December corn down 6 cents to $7.555 a bushel September wheat down 14.5 cents to $8.8425 a bushel December oats up 3.25 cents to $4.4525 a bushel<br /><br />Food and Fiber: September coffee up 7.05 cents to $1.467 a pound September cocoa up $19 to $3,125 a metric ton December cotton up 0.04 cent to 80.11 cents a pound October sugar up 0.37 cent to 13.08 cents a pound September orange juice up 2.25 cents to $1.131 a pound<br /><br />Energy: July crude oil up $2.69 to $134.62 a barrel July natural gas up 13.3 cents to $12.994 per million British thermal units July heating oil up 5.82 cents to $3.7717 a gallon July gasoline up 8.66 cents to $3.4392 a gallon<br /><br />Others: September copper up 5.25 cents to $3.8305 a pound September lumber down $4.40 to $263.00 per 1,000 board feet.<br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Source: <a href="http://Bloomberg.com">Bloomberg</a>|By Mark Shenk</span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-61142196277759483152008-06-19T18:21:00.003+02:002008-06-19T18:27:24.032+02:00[OIL PRICES] Crude Oil Declines as China to Increase Fuel Prices Tomorrow<div style="text-align: justify;">Crude oil fell more than $4 a barrel on speculation demand will decline, after China said it will raise fuel prices starting tomorrow.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">China</span>, the second-biggest fuel consumer after the U.S., will increase gasoline and diesel prices by 1,000 yuan ($145.50) a ton, the <span style="font-weight: bold;">National Development and Reform Commission</span> said. The increases represent a 17 percent gain for gasoline and 18 percent for diesel. Oil has almost doubled in the past year, partially because of growing demand from <span style="font-weight: bold;">China</span>.<br /><br />``<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 204, 0);">The announcement of the Chinese fuel price increase sent the market sharply lower,'</span>' said Michael Fitzpatrick, vice president for energy risk management at MF Global Ltd. in New York. ``<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 204, 0);">This should have a big impact on demand</span>.''<br /><br />Crude oil for July delivery fell $4.10, or 3 percent, to $132.58 a barrel at 12:15 p.m. on the N<span style="font-weight: bold;">ew York Mercantile Exchange</span>. Futures climbed to a record $139.89 on June 16. Prices are 94 percent higher than a year ago.<br /><br />Brent crude oil for August settlement declined $3.13, or 2.3 percent, to $133.31 a barrel on London's <span style="font-weight: bold;">ICE Futures Europe</span> exchange. Prices climbed to a record $139.32 on June 16.<br /><br />China will also raise jet-fuel prices by 1,500 yuan a ton, or 25 percent, tomorrow, the top policy planner said. On July 1, <span style="font-weight: bold;">China</span> will increase electricity prices by an average 0.025 yuan a kilowatt-hour, or 4.7 percent. <span style="font-weight: bold;">China</span> will impose temporary caps on thermo-coal prices until the end of this year.<br /><br />The government is considering a so-called environmental tax, a new levy on auto fuels and changes to existing taxes on natural-resource use, Fu Jing, deputy director of policy and legislation at the State Administration of Taxation, said at the <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(204, 102, 0);">Energy Efficiency Asia </span>conference in Beijing today.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(51, 102, 255);font-size:130%;" >Developing Countries</span><br />``The developing countries, in particular China, have been driving demand growth,'' said Eric Wittenauer, an analyst at Wachovia Securities in St. Louis. ``Subsidies and price caps insulate consumers from the full impact of higher prices. By rolling them back, some of the insulation is reduced and we can expect to see a demand response.''<br /><br />Oil demand will fall 240,000 barrels to 48.71 million barrels a day among the 30-member Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, the U.S. Energy Department said in a report on June 10. The <span style="font-weight: bold;">OECD</span> doesn't include developing countries such as China.<br /><br />Chinese consumption is expected to rise 440,000 barrels to an average 8.02 million barrels a day this year, according to the report.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">India, Malaysia, Indonesia </span>and <span style="font-weight: bold;">Taiwan</span> have increased fuel prices and reduced subsidies this year, a move that may cut Asian demand and slow global oil-consumption growth.<br /><br />Oil rallied for the first time in four days yesterday as <span style="font-weight: bold;">U.S. President George W. Bush</span> said he doesn't expect pledges of higher supplies to emerge from a June 22 meeting of producers and consumers in Jeddah, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Saudi Arabia</span>. Prices also rose because a government report showed that U.S. crude-oil inventories fell for a fifth week.<br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:78%;">Source: <a href="http://Bloomberg.com">Bloomberg</a>|By Mark Shenk</span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-90508143644613550052008-06-17T23:29:00.001+02:002008-06-17T23:33:49.785+02:00[OIL PRICES] Markets ignore Saudi oil concession<div style="text-align: justify; color: rgb(153, 153, 153);"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Saudi Arabia</span>'s offer of a further increase in production to halt the<span style="font-weight: bold;"> oil price spiral failed </span>to have any impact yesterday on markets more preoccupied with the shutdown of a North Sea oil and gas field, the weakness of the dollar and the renewed surge in product prices.<br /><br />Futures contracts in New York hit a new intra-day peak of $139.89 a barrel at one stage, before closing down 25 cents at $134.61, while <span style="font-weight: bold;">North Sea</span> Brent jumped more than $2.40 to $137.52 in London, on the back of the Statoil decision to cut output from the Oseberg field by 150,000 barrels a day follow<br /></div><br /><ul style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(51, 204, 255);"><li><span style="font-size:130%;">More on oil</span></li></ul><div style="text-align: justify;">Sterling jumped to its highest level for two weeks on a trade weighted basis in anticipation that the Bank of England's<span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(51, 204, 255);"> Monetary Policy Committee</span> will be pressured into increasing interest rates because of inflation worries, while the dollar continued to lose ground against the euro.<br /><br />Figures out today are expected to show consumer price inflation in Britain is running at an annual rate of 3.1pc, well above the 2pc target level agreed with government. Mervyn King, Governor of the Bank, will have to write what analysts feel will be first of a series of letters to the Chancellor explaining why the target has been missed.<br /><br />Saudi Arabia's decision to increase production by another 500,000 barrels a day followed a meeting with Ban Ki-moon, the United Nations secretary-general, in Jeddah. The increase, the second in a month, will push Saudi output to 9.7m daily barrels and comes as Saudi prepares for a meeting of oil producers and consumer governments in Jeddah to try to put a brake on rising prices.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Malcolm Wicks,</span> energy minister, welcomed the Saudi decision but failed to get the <span style="font-weight: bold;">United Arab Emirates</span> to follow suit.<br /></div><span style="font-size:78%;"><br /><br />Source: The <a href="http://telegraph.co.uk/">Telegraph</a>|By Roland Gribben</span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-31569036604739906722008-06-16T16:13:00.003+02:002008-06-16T16:24:19.512+02:00[OIL PRICES] Oil hits new all-time high<div style="text-align: justify;">The oil price spiralled to a new all-time high today of almost $140 a barrel after worse-than-expected manufacturing data for the world's biggest economy weakened the dollar.<br />A barrel of US crude for delivery in July hit $139.89 in US trading, breaking through the previous high of $139.12 set last week. The sharp rise startled traders, who had expected the promise of increase production from <span style="font-weight: bold;">Saudi Arabia </span>to keep a lid on the oil price.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Brent crude also hit a record high today, touching $139.32 a barrel.</span> The jump was sparked by the latest New York State manufacturing index, which fell for the fourth time in five months. This pushed the US currency down against other major currencies, affecting the oil price, which is quoted in dollars. Oil has more than doubled in value in the last year, driven by rising demand, weakness in the dollar and traders betting that the price will keep rising. This has pushed up motoring costs for business and consumers, fuelling inflation fears.<br /><br />This has caused blockades in <span style="font-weight: bold;">Spain</span>, and protests in<span style="font-weight: bold;"> South America </span>and <span style="font-weight: bold;">Indonesia</span>. In the <span style="font-weight: bold;">UK,</span> drivers have also been hit by the ongoing strike action between <span style="font-weight: bold;">Shell</span> and hundreds of its drivers.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Saudi Arabia </span>is <span style="font-weight: bold;">OPEC</span>'s largest oil producer, and yesterday it tried to take some of the heat out of rising fuel prices with plans to increase production next month. The Saudi move followed a weekend of talks between the UN secretary general, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Ban Ki-moon;</span> the Saudi ruler, King <span style="font-weight: bold;">Abdullah</span>, and the country's oil minister <span style="font-weight: bold;">Ali al-Naimi</span>.<br /><br /><img style="margin: 0px auto 10px; display: block; text-align: center; cursor: pointer; width: 500px; height: 300px;" src="http://bp1.blogger.com/_m50azKGBdwU/SFZ3Wp3LM3I/AAAAAAAAG-c/hMRfeTw03tc/s320/Graeme+Wearden.jpg" alt="[OIL PRICES] Oil hits new all-time high" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5212484849806029682" border="0" /><br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:78%;">Source:<a set="yes" linkindex="22" href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/" name="&amp;lid={contentTypeByline}{Graeme Wearden}&amp;lpos={contentTypeByline}{1}"> The Guardian| by Graeme Wearden</a></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-24361043803781792872008-06-15T15:20:00.002+02:002008-06-15T15:24:27.544+02:00[INDIA] Refined soya oil prices rise by Rs 10 a litre<div style="text-align: justify;">Retail prices of refined <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">soya oil,</span> which fell sharply after removal of import duty on crude soya oil, have soared by about Rs 10 a litre in the national capital due to tight domestic supply and rising global prices.<br /><br />"<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(51, 102, 255);">Retail prices have gone up by Rs 10 a litre in domestic market during last two months,</span>" <span style="font-weight: bold;">Adani Wilmar </span>Assistant Vice President (Sales and Marketing) <span style="font-weight: bold;">Angshu Mallick </span>said.<br /><br />He said the company had raised the price of its fortune refined soya oil to Rs 73 a litre. Fortune is the largest selling brand of refined soya oil in India. Fortune refined soya oil had skyrocketed to about Rs 80 a litre in March at the retail market here.<br /><br />Prices fell to Rs 63 a litre in April after government removed custom duty on crude soya oil on March 31 as part of its measures to control rising inflation.<br /><br />When asked about the reason, Mallick said: "<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(51, 204, 255);">There is extreme shortage of local crop in India. Soya bean is almost finished and there is no stock. Whatever is available, the prices are higher than the imported oil prices</span>."<br /><br />Besides, he said the international prices of crude soya oil have gone up sharply because of rise in crude oil prices.<br /><br />"<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(51, 102, 255);">The soyabean oil prices have gone up to 1,430 dollar a tonne from 1,200 dollar a tonne in the international market from April</span>," Mallick pointed out.<br /><br />The market is bullish because of crude oil prices and "edible oil prices is likely to go up further", he said.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Solvent Extractors Association of India</span> (SEA) Executive Director B V Mehta noted that Indian market moves in tandem with global markets where prices have gone up by 50 dollars in last one week only. <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 255, 102);">India imports more than 40 per cent of its requirement of edible oils.</span><br /><br /></div><br />Source: <a href="http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/">Indian Economic Times</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-21818839460683385902008-06-15T07:52:00.001+02:002008-06-15T07:55:14.065+02:00[OIL PRICES] London exchange ICE may limit oil trades<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Intercontinental Exchange </span>may be forced to limit the size of U.S. oil trades on its London energy market, <span style="font-weight: bold;">U.S. Commodity Futures Trading</span> Commissioner Bart Chilton said Friday.<br /><br />Intercontinental, known as ICE, controls about one-fourth of the trading of <span style="font-weight: bold;">U.S. West Texas Intermediate oil futures,</span> with the New York Mercantile Exchange handling the remainder. ICE's London market operates without trading limits and is allowed to offer U.S. investors access to its U.K. exchange under a no-action letter from the CFTC. The letter may be revised to have ICE adopt trade limits imposed by <span style="font-weight: bold;">Nymex</span>, Chilton said.<br /><br />"<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 204, 102);">The issue is manipulation of oil prices</span>," Chilton said. "It's critical we have as comprehensive as possible a view of all trading position in WTI."<br /><br />The energy exchange's regulator, the U.K.'s Financial Services Authority, does not set limits on contracts held by investors on its London exchange, meaning those traders can build larger trades in U.S. oil than rivals on the Nymex, which sets limits. The position limits are aimed at reducing the ability of traders to influence prices near the expiration of futures contracts.<br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Source: <a href="http://bloomberg.com/">Bloomberg</a></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-89046093812757394952008-06-10T00:34:00.001+02:002008-06-10T01:56:07.172+02:00[OIL PRICES] The prices above $138<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="color: rgb(153, 153, 153);font-size:130%;" ><span style="font-weight: bold;">Oil prices</span> had their biggest gains ever jumping nearly $11 to a new record above $138 a barrel after the dollar fell sharply against the euro. The unprecedented gains on Friday capped a second day of strong gains on energy markets, and fueled suspicions that commodities might be caught in a speculative bubble.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Oil futures</span> surged $10.75, or 8 percent, to $138.54 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The record gain followed a jump of 5.5 percent on Thursday, bringing total two-day gains to $16 a barrel.<br /><br />Stocks fell sharply. The Dow Jones industrials fell 394.64 points, or 3.1 percent, to close at 12,209.81. The S&amp;P 500 Index plunged 43.37, or 3.1 percent, to 1,360.68, and the Nasdaq composite index sank 75.38 to 2,474.56. Chevron Corp. was the only stock that rose on the blue-chip index.<br /><br />The latest jump in oil prices also came amid bleak economic news that fanned recession fears on Friday. The unemployment rate surged to 5.5 percent last month, the government said, the biggest increase in more than two decades.<br /><br />Investors reacted to the latest forecast by a large Wall Street bank that oil prices would spike to $150 a barrel in the next month because of strong demand from Asian economies. Analysts said that the threat of a strike by <span style="font-weight: bold;">Chevron</span>'s workers in <span style="font-weight: bold;">Nigeria</span> could lead to "considerable" shutdowns of Nigerian production.<br /><br />A similar strike by Exxon Mobil workers last April, which lasted a week, reduced Nigerian output by 800,000 barrels a day, or nearly a third of the country's daily exports.<br /></div><br />Source: <a href="http://www2.irna.ir/fa/">Islamic Republic News Agency</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-35069655398650262202008-06-03T05:06:00.003+02:002008-06-03T05:09:51.912+02:00[OIL PRICES] Oil rules over $128 on natural gas rally<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255);">Oil rebounded from early lows to stand near $128 a barrel on Monday, as a rally in natural gas and refined oil products helped outweigh demand concerns and a firmer dollar.</span><br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255);">At the time to print, US light, sweet crude oil futures rose $1.05 to $128.40 a barrel, off session lows of $125.22. London Brent rose 69 cents to $128.47 a barrel.</span><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255);"> Traders said the recovery in crude was led by gas, heating oil and gasoline. Investors, especially speculators, with oversold positions were also coming back into the market, they said.</span><br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255);"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Nymex</span> natural gas futures was nearly 4% higher, while heating oil and gasoline were up nearly 1.5% and 1.3% higher. Oil fell nearly $5 lower last week as investors booked profits after rallying to a record high above $135.</span><br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255);">The recovery in crude came despite a firmer dollar, which edged up against the euro on Monday after a survey showed stronger-than-expected US manufacturing activity in May.</span><br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255);">The dollar has rebounded against the euro on the prospect of the Federal Reserve eventually lifting rates. The dollar scored back-to-back monthly gains against the euro in April and May for the first time since early 2007.</span><br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255);">Oil fell more than $2 earlier in the session as an Iraqi official said the country expected to boost oil exports this month to a new post-war high of about 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd) — about 130,000 barrels a day higher than in May.</span><br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255);">Oil prices hit an all-time high of $135.09 a barrel on May 22, boosted by rising flows of cash from investors and concerns supplies will struggle to match demand longer term, but a series of fuel price hikes across Asia and protests in Europe last week has shifted focus to the potential for weakening consumption.</span><br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255);">Demand in consuming nations such as the <span style="font-weight: bold;">US</span> and the <span style="font-weight: bold;">UK</span> has already showed signs of faltering under the weight of rising fuel costs, and some analysts are concerned demand in some Asian countries could be hit as governments cut subsidies.</span><br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255);">While the world’s number-two consumer <span style="font-weight: bold;">China</span> is resisting raising prices until after the August Olympics, other countries including <span style="font-weight: bold;">Taiwan, Indonesia and Sri Lanka </span>have been forced to hike pump rates as governments struggle to fund subsidies. India is expected to raise prices slightly this week and Malaysia may make a similar move.</span><br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255);">Oil traders are also bracing for the possibility of more market surveillance by US regulators, under political pressure to stem the rise in prices, a move they fear may shake some speculators out of the market.</span><br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255);">Speculators cut their net long positions in crude oil to 25,867 in the week to May 27, down from 50,060 in the previous week, data released by the </span><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(51, 51, 255);">US Commodity Futures Trading Commission </span><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255);">(CFTC) showed last week. The CFTC said last week that it was investigating oil-market trading.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-size:78%;">Source: <a href="http://Reuters.com">Reuters</a></span></div><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-61748149256030663222008-05-31T21:56:00.002+02:002008-05-31T22:02:55.349+02:00[OIL PRICES] The Oil price profiteering to be curbed at ICE Futures Europe and New York Mercantile Exchange<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(51, 204, 0);">Two of the world's largest energy exchanges have forced traders to deposit significantly more money when investing to curb volatility in energy markets and drive out speculators. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(51, 204, 0);">The exchanges and related clearing houses have found themselves at the centre of the growing storm over claims that speculators have been behind the recent rise in oil prices to record levels.</span><br /><br />The <span style="font-weight: bold;">New York Mercantile Exchange </span>(Nymex) and <span style="font-weight: bold;">ICE Futures Europe</span> in London, the former <span style="font-style: italic;">International Petroleum Exchange,</span> have now tripled "margin calls" for some contracts.<br /><br />They hope the increased margin calls will reduce volatility and force out some of the more speculative players. Nymex has announced a threefold increase in margin calls for long-dated Brent crude futures in New York. As a result margin calls on some contracts will jump from $100 to $300 for clearing members.<br /><br />On more popular contracts, such as Brent for one-month delivery, the margin call will rise by 12.5pc to $450 for clearing members.<br /><br />For investors with sizeable positions, the increase could mean the difference between a profit and a loss and appears to have already forced some speculative traders to close their positions.<br /><br />The move, introduced by ICE earlier in the week and followed by Nymex yesterday, has coincided with a fall in the price of oil by around $7 a barrel from last week's record high of more than $135. In London yesterday, a barrel of Brent crude for July delivery was up 88 cents at $127.77 in late trading. In New York, a barrel of sweet crude was up $1.34 at $127.96.<br /><br />Rob Laughlin, senior energy broker for MF Global in London, said that, as a result of the increases, many "smaller speculators have finally taken their money and run". However, Walter Lukken, acting chairman of the US Commodities Futures Trading Commission, yesterday dismissed the idea that raising margin calls would help long- term, saying it would just force speculators to go elsewhere.<br /><br />A spokesman for <span style="font-weight: bold;">New York Mercantile Exchange</span> would not explain why the margin calls had been raised, except to say that the calls are based on a formula linked to volume and volatility and are assessed on a daily basis.<br /><br />The ICE in London, where the contracts are cleared by LCH. Clearnet, has also increased margin calls - for a "lot" of Brent crude, for example, the initial margin call has risen by a third to $10,000.<br /><br />LCH.Clearnet said the margin call was raised because of "a change in the nature of the volatility across the oil curves".Lehman Bros' chief energy economist Edward Morse blamed the spike in oil prices on Wall Street analysts repeatedly raising their forecasts. The investment bank described the price rise as a repeat of the dotcom bubble of the late 1990s.<br /><br />In a research note, entitled "Oil dotcom", Mr Morse and Lehman's fixed income and commodities research team argue that the ratcheting up of forecasts for oil is partly to blame for the recent increase.<br /><br />"<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 255, 51);">Fundamental changes cannot explain sudden, severe price or curve movements,</span>" wrote Mr Morse. "As in the dotcom period, when "new economy" stocks became popular, a growing number of Wall Street analysts have been repeatedly raising their forecasts as oil prices have risen."<br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Source: <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk">The Telegraph</a>|By James Quinn</span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-91508779337973270312008-05-21T19:22:00.000+02:002008-05-21T19:24:54.061+02:00[OIL PRICES] Crude breaks the $130 a barrel level<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255);font-size:130%;" >Crude-oil futures topped the $130-a-barrel mark for the first time on Wednesday ahead of a weekly report on energy inventories, continuing this month's ascent on the back of supply worries and bullish commentaries. July light sweet crude recently traded up $1.40 to $130.38 a barrel.</span><br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Source: <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/crude-oil-futures-rally-past-130/story.aspx?guid=%7B76375AF6%2D75EE%2D487F%2D979E%2DBAE13C6D8602%7D&amp;siteid=bnb">MarketWatch</a>|By Steve Goldstein</span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-34794703201855870022008-05-20T13:22:00.002+02:002008-05-20T13:30:22.805+02:00[MIDDLE EAST] Oil production meets demand. Saudi Arabia<div style="text-align: justify;">The current level of oil production is fulfilling market demand, <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 255, 51);">Saudi Arabia</span>'s Oil Minister <span style="font-weight: bold;">Ali Al-Naimi</span> said in remarks carried by the state news agency.<br /><br />"<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(153, 0, 0);">Saudi Arabia is permanently seeking to take into consideration the interest of consumers and producers and to achieve a balance between supply and demand</span>," SPA quoted<span style="font-weight: bold;"> Ali Al-Naimi</span> as saying at a cabinet meeting chaired by <span style="font-weight: bold;">King Abdullah</span>.<br /><br />"<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 204, 51);">The kingdom sees that quantities produced at the present time fulfil the market needs ... and that the production capacity can meet any additional and real energy needs</span>," he added.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Saudi Arabia</span>, the world's largest oil exporter and the <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 102, 0);">Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries</span>' most influential member, said on Friday it had raised output by 300,000 barrels per day.<br /><br /><img style="margin: 0pt 0pt 10px 10px; float: right; cursor: pointer;" src="http://bp0.blogger.com/_m50azKGBdwU/SDK1r9lxESI/AAAAAAAAG50/tf0XMZRGFmE/s400/%5BMIDDLE+EAST%5D+Oil+production+meets+demand.+Saudi+Arabia.gif" alt="[MIDDLE EAST] Oil production meets demand. Saudi Arabia" id="[MIDDLE EAST] Oil production meets demand. Saudi Arabia" border="0" /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Al-Naimi</span> announced the increase while US President <span style="font-weight: bold;">George W. Bush</span> was visiting Riyadh.<br /><br />Bush said on Saturday that he was pleased with the Saudi decision to boost output but that it was insufficient to solve problems in the world's largest energy consumer.<br /><br />High <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(51, 204, 0);">oil prices </span>are weighing on a US economy already hit hard by a housing slump and credit crisis.<br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:78%;">Source: <a href="http://reuters.com/">Reuters</a></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-26697251833923240672008-05-19T18:05:00.004+02:002008-05-19T18:13:29.539+02:00[UNITED STATES] Oil prices gain while pump prices rise to new high<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">Oil futures</span> crept higher Monday while retail gas and diesel prices reached new records, adding to the pressure on drivers planning road trips for the coming holiday weekend.<br /><br />Americans are now paying an average of $3.79 for a gallon of regular gas, according to a survey by AAA and the <span style="font-weight: bold;">Oil Price Information Service</span>. Diesel now costs $4.52 a gallon.<br /><br />Drivers in some parts of the country are paying considerably more, however. Gas pump prices in parts of California, where the average is down to $3.96, have been stuck above $4 a gallon for weeks now. Prices in Alaska and Connecticut are averaging just above $4 a gallon statewide.<br /><br />A report released Sunday showed pump prices topped an average $4 a gallon for the first time in two metropolitan areas: Chicago and New York's Long Island. The Lundberg Survey of 7,000 stations nationwide found the cheapest city to be Tucson, Ariz., where a gallon of regular sold for $3.48 on average. Pump prices may have further to go still, pressured by rising oil costs and a refinery shutdown.<br /><br />Light, sweet crude for June delivery rose 33 cents to $126.62 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Monday. Prices surged to a trading record near $128 a barrel Friday, but did not set a new closing high.<br /><br /><img style="margin: 0pt 0pt 10px 10px; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 336px; height: 223px;" src="http://bp2.blogger.com/_m50azKGBdwU/SDGm2tlxEQI/AAAAAAAAG5k/12uzSeGQwO8/s400/+Oil+prices+gain+while+pump+prices+rise+to+new+high.jpg" alt="[UNITED STATES] Oil prices gain while pump prices rise to new high" id="[UNITED STATES] Oil prices gain while pump prices rise to new high" border="0" />Crude was likely sent higher in part by a news report quoting<span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 204, 51);"> Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries </span>President Chakib Khelil as saying <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 102, 0);">OPEC</span> won't increase production before its next meeting Sept. 9.<br /><br />"There's a perception that demand is going to hold up pretty strongly this year," said Mark Pervan, senior commodity strategist at Australia &amp; New Zealand Bank in Melbourne. "This idea that the market just couldn't handle $100 oil has just gone out the window, so there's a parallel shift at where the market will trade."<br /><br />Holly Corp. said a key unit at its New Mexico refinery is down for repairs, cutting estimated gasoline production in May by as much as 756,000 gallons. The shutdown of the fluid catalytic cracking unit occurred while the unit was being brought back online from a previous shutdown on May 7.<br /><br />Holly's Navajo Refinery in Artesia, N.M. is the refiner's largest facility.<br /><br />With crude extending its advance, analysts warned of the negative impact for the world's greatest consumer, the U.S.<br /><br />"The ongoing upward trend in crude prices is going to ensure that the U.S. economy remains under pressure," said James Hughes, an analyst at CMC Markets in London.<br /><br />In other <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">Nymex</span> trading, heating oil futures were nearly flat at $3.7020 a gallon. Gasoline futures rose 0.61 cents to $3.2296 a gallon. Natural gas futures rose 9.4 cents to $11.188 per 1,000 cubic feet. July Brent crude rose 8 cents to $125.07 a barrel on the <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 255, 102);">ICE Futures exchange</span> in London.<br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:78%;">Source: <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080519/ap_on_bi_ge/oil_prices">Yahoo News</a>/ <a href="http://ap.com/">Associated Press</a>| By ADAM SCHRECK</span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-23531163704170228972008-05-18T07:16:00.004+02:002008-05-19T18:18:35.546+02:00[OPEC] Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries crude output increase ruled out<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 204, 102);">Iran</span>'s oil minister yesterday rejected any idea of <a href="http://opec.org/"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255); font-weight: bold;">Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries</span></a> raising production, saying it would fail to ease record prices as the market was already "saturated" with oil. <span style="font-weight: bold;">Gholamhossein Nozari</span> also dismissed as a "<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 153, 102);">political move</span>" Saudi Arabia's announcement on Friday of a modest hike in output after an appeal from visiting US President <span style="font-weight: bold;">George Walter Bush</span>.<br /><br />"<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">No, the market is saturated with oil and a hike in production does not have an impact on the price,</span>" Nozari told reporters when asked whether the <a href="http://opec.org/"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255); font-weight: bold;">Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries</span></a> would increase production.<br /><br />Oil prices have risen six-fold since 2002 and doubled since last year as rising demand from China and other developing nations cinched spare production capacity, adding pressure on the US economy already hard hit by a housing slump.<br /><br /><a href="http://opec.org/"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255); font-weight: bold;">Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries</span></a>'s smallest producer, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Ecuador</span>, said on Friday that members should consider raising output to stem the oil rally because high prices are hurting the poor.<br /><br />But <span style="font-weight: bold;">Iran</span>, <a href="http://opec.org/"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 255); font-weight: bold;">Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries</span></a>'s second-largest producer after Saudi Arabia, says the market is well-supplied with oil and blames the price rise on a weak US dollar, speculation and other factors outside the control of the 13-member cartel.<br /><br />Oil shot to a record high near $128 a barrel on Friday as a bullish price forecast from investment bank<span style="font-weight: bold;"> Goldman Sachs</span> drowned out the offer of more supply from<span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 255, 102);"> Saudi Arabia</span>.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">George Walter Bush</span> said yesterday he was pleased with a boost in <span style="font-weight: bold;">Saudi oil </span>output but it did not solve problems in the US.<br /><br />Asked whether he was satisfied with the Saudi oil output boost, Bush said <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">King Abdullah</span> summoned his energy minister. "<span style="font-style: italic;">It's something but it doesn't solve our problem</span>," Bush said. "<span style="font-style: italic;">Our problem in America gets solved if we expand our refining capacity, promote nuclear energy and continue our strategy for the advancement of alternative energies.</span>"<br /></div><br /><br /><span style="font-size:78%;">Source: <a href="http://www.gulf-daily-news.com/">Gulf Daily News</a></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-34585361995865977282008-05-18T03:15:00.004+02:002008-05-18T03:24:29.466+02:00[RUSSIA] Oil Tax Pledge Buoys Markets<div style="text-align: justify;">Markets surged after the swearing-in of <span style="font-weight: bold;">Dmitry Medvedev</span> as president in a pomp-filled ceremony Wednesday and a tax-cutting speech by <span style="font-weight: bold;">Vladimir Putin</span> the day after, when he was approved as prime minister.<br /><br />The RTS, Russia's benchmark index, rose 2 percent Wednesday, the day of the inauguration, while the MICEX Index fared a little better, increasing by 2.7 percent.<br /><br />Oil stocks were buoyed by Putin's announcement Thursday that taxes on oil exploration would be cut significantly, pushing LUKoil up 6.4 percent and Rosneft up 6.7 percent on the day.<br /><br />The RTS closed Thursday, the last day of trading before the <span style="font-weight: bold;">Victory Day national holiday</span>, up by 7.6 percent to 2283.99 points, while MICEX, where most trading takes place, rose 7.7 percent to 1795.67 points.<br /><br />The RTS Oil &amp; Gas Index rose 9.2 percent over the four days of trading, and in London on Friday Gazprom added 3.4 percent, LUKoil 4 percent and Rosneft 3 percent.<br /><br />While Russia has been caught up in the maelstrom of the global financial crisis, which has sent global markets tumbling since the beginning of the year, analysts have noted large inflows into Russia-focused funds over the same period.<br /><br />The MSCI Russia Index outperformed the global emerging-market index by 10.5 percent over the week and, having lagged behind the global benchmark in the year to date, it is now outperforming by almost 4 percent. According to EPFR Global, a total of $1.4 billion has been invested into Russia funds so far this year, compared with an outflow of $5.2 billion from China funds and a loss of $455 million from India funds.<br /><br />Yet Russian markets still appear undervalued, as Bloomberg noted that stocks on the RTS are currently trading at an average of 9.52 times earnings, making it the worst-performing stock market among Europe's 10 largest.<br /><br />Investors said one reason for this was that the Russian market was dominated by oil stocks, which typically have lower price-to-earning ratios than manufacturing or consumer stocks. Added to that, some investors have still shied away from the market in light of the political changeover.<br /><br />"<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">There has been a bit of a misunderstanding about what the transfer of power means in Russia,</span>" said James Fenkner, a director at <span style="font-weight: bold;">Red Star Asset Management</span>. "<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 255, 102);">There has been a lot of pessimism in Russia, too, and we have seen big Russian sellers of Gazprom. This has lifted over the last couple of days</span>."<br /><br />The week's double coronation sparked a spurt of market activity in what has otherwise been a quiet couple of weeks, with many Russian-based buyers and sellers out of town for the traditional May vacation.<br /><br />For the first time since January, the RTS was back above 2,200 points, led by the metals and mining sector. Coal firm <span style="font-weight: bold;">Raspadaskaya</span> attracted interest on the news that it planned to list Global Depositary Receipts in London, while steel companies Severstal and NLMK soared on <span style="font-weight: bold;">Lehman Brothers </span>coverage and high steel prices.<br /><br />Oil prices hit another record high, soaring well above $120 per barrel, buoying oil stocks. Big names such as <span style="font-weight: bold;">Gazprom</span> and <span style="font-weight: bold;">LUKoil</span> did well, but investors were wary to place bets that it's a real recovery.<br /><br />The recovery, said Fenkner, is "very specific." "Oil and metals have completely recovered, but what hasn't quite recovered is everything else."<br /><br />"<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">Telecoms are in the gutter, and retails are also doing pretty poorly</span>," he said. <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">Unified Energy Systems,</span> which is to be broken up shortly, has started to climb back over the last two weeks after a sell-off, closing Thursday at $1.06 per share.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">Unified Energy Systems,</span> is "<span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 102, 102);">very cheap,</span>" said Alexander Kotikov, a utilities analyst at <span style="font-weight: bold;">Troika Dialog</span>. When <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">Unified Energy Systems,</span> is de-listed on Jun. 6, shareholders will receive holdings in a basket of 23 different companies, ranging from generating firms to transmission entities, in return for their UES shares.<br /><br />Analysts have valuations for the majority of the basket of stocks, and UES is trading at a "<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">deep discount</span>" to that basket, Kotikov said.<br /><br />"<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 204, 0);">It represented a fantastic arbitrage opportunity, and still does,</span>" he said.<br /><br /></div><span style="font-size:78%;">Source: <a href="http://www.themoscowtimes.com/">The Moscow Times</a>|By Catrina Stewart</span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-18359203328936988492008-05-16T08:19:00.003+02:002008-05-16T08:25:23.635+02:00[OIL PRICES] The prices must be controlled. Gordon Brown<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="color: rgb(192, 192, 192);font-size:130%;" >The British Primier Minister <span style="font-weight: bold;">Gordon Brown</span> blamed global factors, especially record oil prices, for the economic slowdown and rising inflation in Britain during a series of major interviews Thursday.</span><br /><br />Speaking on <span style="font-weight: bold;">BBC Radio Four</span>'s Today programme, Brown called for <span style="font-weight: bold;">oil prices</span> to be controlled and said that pressure must be put on <span style="font-weight: bold;">OPEC</span> to increase production.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">OPEC</span> was responsible for about 40 percent of the world's production and it is <span style="font-weight: bold;">clear they should be raising their targets</span>, he later said at his monthly press conference. The British premier said that he wanted <span style="font-weight: bold;">OPEC</span> to consider increasing their quotas, arguing that he believed its members had the capacity to do so.<br /><br />They need to act to convince people demand can be met, he told domestic and foreign journalists. The supply of oil to meet demand was important not just now but in the future.<br /><br />Brown also said that the rest of the international community need also to look at what can be done to bring down record <span style="font-weight: bold;">oil prices</span> of over 120 dollars per barrels, mentioning that there were other causes for the spike like geopolitics and speculators.<br /><br />Under pressure from criticism about his own performance, the prime minister carried out four substantial interviews Thursday morning as well as hold his press conference at midday.<br /><br />This was in addition to answering parliamentary questions on Wednesday. Defending questions on whether he would resign, he insisted that he had the best experience, including 10 years as <span style="font-weight: bold;">Chancellor of the Exchequer, </span>to carry on the job.<br /><br />The reason the economy is going wrong is "<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">international factors that we have had to deal with and I am probably best placed to deal with these issues because of what I know about dealing with other countries on oil and other issues,</span>" Brown said.<br /><br />"<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(51, 51, 255);">Of course, there are many people that can take over, but I think I can help steer this economy through difficult times and make sure we do the best by Britain in difficult world circumstances</span>," he told the BBC.<br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Source: <a href="http://www2.irna.com/fa/">Islamic Republic News Agency</a></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-19434997877130453102008-05-15T22:29:00.004+02:002008-05-16T05:29:05.239+02:00[OIL PRICES] Crude Oil Is Steady After Report of Natural-Gas Supply Gain<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="color: rgb(255, 204, 51);font-size:130%;">Crude oil was little changed after an Energy Department report showed that natural gas supplies rose and the U.S. Congress approved legislation that strengthens oversight of electronic energy trading.<br /><br />Stockpiles climbed 93 billion cubic feet last week, the department said. The Senate approved the measure by a 81-15 vote, a margin large enough to override a threatened veto from President <span style="font-weight: bold;">George W. Bush</span>. Oil prices were up before the gas report's release on signs that European fuel demand will rise.</span><br /><br />``<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(0, 204, 204);">We've been waiting for a correction to happen,</span>'' said <span style="font-weight: bold;">Daniel Flynn,</span> a broker with <span style="font-weight: bold;">Alaron Trading</span> Corp. in Chicago. ``<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(0, 204, 204);">The bearish natural-gas inventory number appears to have started the selling today. I think once it was clear that we weren't going to break through $130 anytime soon, the funds started selling</span>.''<br /><br />Crude oil for June delivery dropped 10 cents to settle at $124.12 a barrel at 2:48 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Futures touched $120.75, the lowest since May 7. The contract surged to a record $126.98 on May 13.<br /><br />Analysts forecast a natural-gas inventory gain of 88 billion cubic feet, according to the median of 23 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey.<br /><br />The House approved the bill governing electronic trading yesterday by a veto-proof majority. The measure is part of a farm bill. The legislation gives the Commodity Futures Trading Commission authority to regulate contract trades that either have a large volume, are used to help determine prices or are linked to a regulated contract.<br /><br />It also requires an audit trail and record-keeping for electronic exchanges, imposes limits on speculation, calls for market monitoring and increases penalties the commission can levy to $1 million.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 204, 204);font-size:180%;">Intercontinental Exchange</span><br />Brent crude oil for June settlement fell 61 cents, or 0.5 percent, to settle at $121.25 a barrel on the <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">ICE Futures</span> Europe exchange. Trading resumed at 2 p.m. after a power failure shut the exchange earlier today. The contract touched a record $125.90 on May 9.<br /><br />Prices might not fall much further, because of growing global demand for distillate fuels, such as heating oil and diesel. The profit margin, or crack spread, for making a barrel of oil into one of heating oil surged to $29.554 a barrel on May 13, the highest since at least 1989, according to futures prices.<br /><br />``<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(153, 153, 153);">The heating oil crack tells me that this rally isn't over,</span>'' said Jim Ritterbusch, president of <span style="font-weight: bold;">Galena, </span>Illinois-based energy consulting firm Ritterbusch &amp; Associates. ``<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(204, 204, 204);">I think prices will be higher when we come in next week</span>.''<br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:78%;">Source: Bloomberg| by Mark Shenk</span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-18127514641118256392008-05-14T17:49:00.004+02:002008-05-14T17:56:48.365+02:00[OIL INDUSTRY] Economic Consequences Of Sky-Rocketing Oil<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="color: rgb(153, 153, 153); font-weight: bold;font-size:130%;" >Ages ago, in the basement of our five-story walk up, my father's sideline was packaging matzo farfel. I would help him mangle the matzos there and then sell farfel door-to-door like encyclopedias. Any housewife worth her salt fried up matzo brie fritters for her family over Passover using Old Ben's farfel.<br /></span><br />It was my bad luck to hail from the East Bronx, far from<span style="font-weight: bold;"> Texas oil field </span>country. I could'a been another Boone Pickens instead of a nerdy old MBA squinting at spread sheets with 40 lines of numbers filling the page.<br /><br />Fast-forward to the presidential primaries: While my little lady was canvassing for Hillary in the Indianapolis suburbs (10 hours, daily) she noted pickup trucks sitting in driveways even though nobody was home. Families now carpool to work, their gas guzzlers abandoned.<br /><br />Our airlines mothball in the desert more 20-year-old 737s and MD-80s, trimming the seats that would have been flown with these old and inefficient planes. Few of these carriers make the cash flow to replace these oldies with Boeing's (nyse: BA - news - people ) fuel efficient 737-900s.<br /><br />Meanwhile, <a href="http://exxonmobil.com/"><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">ExxonMobil</span></a>, with momentous generosity to shareholders, kicked up its quarterly dividend from 35 cents to 40 cents a share--still under 20% of current earnings power. The company will spend an incremental $5 billion per annum looking for more oil because it failed to increase production the past five years.<br /><br />Was <a href="http://exxonmobil.com/"><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">ExxonMobil</span></a> expecting $60-a-barrel oil--what we had little more than a year ago?<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Delta Air Lines</span> owns and leases over 100 16-year-old Boeing 757s--with just a dozen fuel-efficient aircraft on order--out of a 600-plus fleet. <span style="font-weight: bold;">Fuel hedges</span> for the rest of 2008 cover less than half the fleet's consumption and were written around gas pegged at $2.75 a gallon. Jet fuel this week sold at $3.41 a gallon, and Delta burns 500 million gallons quarterly. You do the arithmetic. The airline's fuel bill ballooned over $500 million during the March quarter, year over year.<br /><br />In short, <span style="font-weight: bold;">Delta Air Lines</span>' incremental fuel bill runs over $2 billion this year. The company can raise ticket prices just so much before it eats into revenue passenger miles. <span style="font-weight: bold;">Delta Air Lines</span>' liquidity approximates $3.6 billion, but it could lose at least a billion this year. Crunch time comes some time in 2009 because mergers don't yield much in cost savings.<br /><br />On the other side of the world, <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 153, 0);">OPEC</span> nations wallow in an embarrassment of riches. Sovereign funds, already in the trillions, will grow by $3 trillion to $5 trillion the next five years. This manna pours into direct investments around the world in real estate, minority interests in banks, brokerage houses and industrial ventures, as well as securities markets. The dollar can't rally much if $100-plus oil darkens our sky--even if European economies stall out. Remember, they pay in euros.<br /><br />Energy is a meaningful cost of doing business, hitting mining operators, industrial plants and big box retailers. Alternative fuels like coal and natural gas key off oil in terms of equivalent British thermal units content pricing. Expect higher utility bills. My home fuel supplier always seems to fill my tank with diesel when prices peak. This winter, I'm setting my thermometer down to 67 degrees and wearing pullovers.<br /><br />On short flights, passengers can expect double last year's ticket prices with no end in sight. Discretionary travel is suspect this summer with some impact on both hotel occupancy and room rates. Las Vegas is already feeling the pinch.<br /><br />In the work force, the slowing economy is cutting into average hourly earnings, decelerating from 5% to 3% as payroll employment weakens. Overtime is down from over five to under four hours a week. It never fell below 2.5 hours in the horrendous recession of 1981-82. For guys in work boots and women on assembly lines in the heartland--who rely on some overtime--belts need to be tightened a notch.<br /><br />Short of junking 100 million cars on the road today with poor gas mileage, it may take 10 years before we approach 30 miles per gallon efficiency. To cut back demand and consumption of gasoline, the country needs to shorten the grace period for Detroit to reach acceptable mpg standards, a costly makeover. Don't count on it.<br /><br />Don't blame the refineries for gouging the public: Refining margins are paper thin because they're processing more expensive crude oil. With no quick fixes to sky-high oil, financial markets slog along. We are lucky the country doesn't face an inflationary bias in labor costs.<br /><br />Food and energy inflation may be a way of life for us. Our domestic oil reserves peaked years ago, and attacking the demand side of oil consumption is a responsibility our politicos have ducked for 20 years.<br /><br />Don't expect <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">OPEC</span> to open the spigots for us. Satellite photographs of the elephantine <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(51, 204, 0);">Saudi oil fields</span> suggest there's more pressure-pumping going on to keep production at a high level. Aramco claims it can increase output a few million barrels a day over the next few years, but this is oil-speak politics.<br /><br />If the bears are right that Saudi fields are peaking, only a decrease in demand (owing to higher and higher oil prices) keeps the equilibrium with world supply. Futures markets now reflect this point of view. Even long-term contracts track well over $100 a barrel.<br /><br />The future market is in a state of regression, with spot prices much higher, but any serious shortfall in world supply sends the market into a contango mode with long-dated quotes higher than spot prices. Investors will read this as bearish for inflation, the dollar, our balance of trade and profitability of domestic businesses--not exactly bull market indicators. Half our trade deficit is oil imports.<br /><br />I've increased my commitment to the energy sector from underweight to slightly overweight. If I include pipeline, storage and natural gas liquids partnerships--all of which yield rich investments--I'm about 20% allocated in energy, which is now 14% of the S&amp;P 500, double what it was two years ago.<br /><br />What stops me from grossly overweighting energy is that most oil and gas operators can't increase production or the reserve-life of their assets. Costs for everyone escalate 10% to 15% annually for labor, seismic services and drilling rigs. <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 102, 102);">Transocean</span> and <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 102, 102);">Schlumberger</span> make operators pay up, pegging prices to rising oil market quotes.<br /><br />With refining margins minimal and chemicals profits somewhat depressed, a peaking of oil prices must impact earnings big time for all integrated oil producers. That's why <a href="http://ExxonMobil.com"><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">ExxonMobil</span></a> is a mediocre investment. The company can't increase production and needs to allocate more capital for drilling and exploration just to maintain the reserve life of its oil fields worldwide.<br /><br />Strategically, I'm going with properties that can at least increase production modestly. My horses are <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">Devon Energy</span>, <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 102, 0);">Apache</span> and <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 204, 0);">Occidental Petroleum</span>. Service operators, like Schlumberger, and deep water rig outfits, like Transocean, get my money.<br /></div><br />Source: <a href="http://www.forbes.com/">FORBES</a> | by Martin T. Sosnoff<div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-36745791202464788322008-05-14T01:12:00.003+02:002008-05-15T07:23:16.200+02:00[MIDDLE EAST] Iranian Oil minister denies crude output cut<div style="text-align: justify;">Oil Minister of Iran, Gholam-Hossein Nozari denied on Tuesday reports about <span style="font-weight: bold;">Iran</span>'s decision to reduce its crude oil output. Speaking to IRNA on the sidelines of a high-level managerial meeting at the ministry, Nozari said <span style="font-weight: bold;">Iran</span> usually decided about prices of its crude oil and exports based on the present situation at oil world market.<br /><br />"<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(51, 204, 0);">The Oil Ministry is regularly checking the crude oil production and its exports</span>," he said.<br /><br />His comments came amid some reports that <span style="font-weight: bold;">Iran</span> was planning to cut its oil production up to 1 million barrels per day.<br /><br />"<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(51, 204, 0);">For the time being, we have no plan to cut crude output. We would check crude exports and then we may decide on increase or decrease,</span>" the minister added.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(51, 204, 0);">Iran,</span> the world's fourth-largest oil producer, is exporting an average of 2.4 million - 2.5 million barrels of crude oil per day, said the minister. However, he added that the amount would sometimes increase to three million or decrease to two million bpd based on situation at oil market.<br /><br />Nozari said that Iran's current crude output stands on 4.170 million bpd.<br /><img style="margin: 0px auto 10px; display: block; text-align: center; cursor: pointer; width: 500px; height: 341px;" src="http://bp0.blogger.com/_m50azKGBdwU/SCohj9lxD4I/AAAAAAAAG18/DAAv6sG3Ht4/s400/Oil+minister+denies+crude+output+cut.jpg" alt="[MIDDLE EAST] Iranian Oil minister denies crude output cut" id="[MIDDLE EAST] Iranian Oil minister denies crude output cut" border="0" /><br /></div><span style="font-size:78%;"><br />Source: <a href="http://irna.com/">Islamic Republic News Agency</a></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-85961898712211073572008-05-11T14:41:00.000+02:002008-05-11T14:42:25.715+02:00[MIDDLE EAST] Iran official says dollar causes record oil<div style="text-align: justify;">The weak <span style="font-weight: bold;">U.S. dollar</span> is the main reason behind <span style="font-weight: bold;">oil prices</span> rising to record levels, not demand or supply factors, an Iranian Oil Ministry official was quoted as saying on Saturday.<br /><br />“<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 255, 102);">We must be aware that it is not the price of crude oil that has risen but the dollar value that has weakened,</span>” said <span style="font-weight: bold;">Mohammad Ali Khatibi,</span> deputy director of international affairs at the <span style="font-weight: bold;">National Iranian Oil Company</span>.<br /><br />“<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">Currently the prices of crude oil do not follow supply and demand and they will gain moderation in the event of improvement in (the value of) the dollar,</span>” he was quoted as saying by the Oil Ministry website Shana.<br /><br />Khatibi was speaking a day after U.S. crude oil futures CLc1 jumped to a record above $126 a barrel, extending gains to more than 11 percent since the start of the month on fuel supply concerns and a rush of speculator buying. The steady rise in crude oil prices has turned the spotlight on the <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries</span> (<span style="font-weight: bold;">OPEC</span>), which for months has insisted it has no control over the factors it blames for pushing up the price of oil, including speculation and the weak U.S. dollar.<br /><br />Iran is the world’s fourth-largest oil producer and <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries</span>’s second largest exporter.<br /><br />“<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(102, 102, 0);">I believe there is a direct relationship between the drop in the value of the dollar and hike in the price of oil,</span>” Khatibi said, adding oil prices rose eight percent in the first quarter of 2008 after the dollar fell as much the previous quarter.<br /><br />On Thursday, Iran’s Oil Minister <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 255, 102);">Gholamhossein Nozari</span> said it would be possible to see a price of $200 per barrel for crude if existing conditions in the market continued. Nozari said the reasons behind the surge in <span style="font-weight: bold;">oil prices</span> were the weak U.S. dollar and supply concerns from Nigeria.<br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:78%;">Source: <a href="http://reuters.com/">Reuters</a></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-61056466438059169432008-05-11T14:35:00.002+02:002008-05-11T14:37:33.443+02:00[OiL FUTURES] Oil and gas execs see oil prices fall below $100 by year-end–survey<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 102, 102);">Oil prices</span> will drop “significantly” from the current record level to below $100-a-barrel by the end of the year, a new survey of oil and gas executives showed. The survey results came as crude futures prices surged to a record above $126 a barrel Friday, fueled by weakness in the U.S. dollar, worries over supply disruptions and speculative demand.<br /><br />About 55% of the 372 financial executives from oil and gas companies surveyed by <span style="font-weight: bold;">KPMG’s</span> <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 102, 102);">Global Energy Institute </span>think that crude oil price will drop below $100 by the end of the year, while only 9% believe it will close at above $120.<br /><br />Some 21% of the executives think oil will close the year between $101 and $110, while 15% think it may end between $111 and $120.<br /><br />What’s more, the survey found that while 44% of the respondents felt prices would peak by the end of the year, a further 39% thought that they would not peak until after 2010. Crude for June delivery touched a high of $126.20, before pulling back to last trade up $1.12, or 0.9%, at $124.82 a barrel on the <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(204, 0, 0);">New York Mercantile Exchange</span>.<br /><br />Oil prices have doubled over the past year. About 63% of oil and gas executives believe that growing demand from emerging markets is the major contributor to the high price of oil.<br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:78%;">Source: <a href="http://www.tehrantimes.com">Teheran Times</a></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-91074049926533386042008-05-11T14:11:00.005+02:002008-05-11T14:23:24.782+02:00[OiL FUTURES] High energy prices lift earnings for BP and Royal Dutch Shell<img style="margin: 0px auto 10px; display: block; text-align: center; cursor: pointer; width: 500px; height: 290px;" src="http://bp0.blogger.com/_m50azKGBdwU/SCbkY9lxDjI/AAAAAAAAGzU/9zxFOPaQP_Y/s400/Royal+Dutch+Shell.jpg" alt="OiL FUTURES: High energy prices lift earnings for BP and Royal Dutch Shell" id="OiL FUTURES: High energy prices lift earnings for BP and Royal Dutch Shell" border="0" /><br /><div style="text-align: justify;">Higher oil and natural gas prices helped Royal Dutch <span style="font-weight: bold;">Shell</span> and <span style="font-weight: bold;">BP</span> report record first-quarter profits Tuesday, beating analysts' expectations and prompting share gains across the industry.<br /><br />The two biggest oil companies in Europe more than offset declining refining margins as crude oil nears $120 a barrel. A move by investors to commodities as an alternative to the shrinking dollar, combined with a spate of supply disruptions, helped to push U.S. crude futures to a record $119.93 on Monday.<br /><br />Shell's net income in the first three months of the year rose 25 percent to $9.08 billion. <span style="font-weight: bold;">BP</span> reported its profit increased 63 percent to $7.62 billion. Shares of <span style="font-weight: bold;">Shell</span> and <span style="font-weight: bold;">BP</span> trading in London rose more Tuesday than they had in at least two years, leading other oil companies, like <span style="font-weight: bold;">ConocoPhillips</span> and <span style="font-weight: bold;">ExxonMobil</span>, higher.<br /><br />"The results are very good because of the high oil price but also without it because we had expected the refining margins, which collapsed, to affect earnings," said Christine Tiscareno, an oil analyst at Standard &amp; Poor's in London. "Both companies did an excellent job controlling costs."<br /><br />Tiscareno and other analysts warned that while a rising oil price might for now benefit Shell and its rivals, it would at some point start to hurt demand for gasoline, as customers became unable to afford the higher prices. Peter Voser, chief financial officer at <span style="font-weight: bold;">Shell</span>, told analysts during a conference call that it was "too early" to say how and when the higher oil price would affect demand.<br /><br />Despite recent disruptions at <span style="font-weight: bold;">BP</span>, oil and natural gas production was unchanged at 3.9 million barrels of oil-equivalent a day, while output at Shell remained unchanged at 3.5 million barrels of oil-equivalent a day. <span style="font-weight: bold;">BP</span> closed a pipeline system Sunday after a strike at a refinery in Scotland cut supplies. Some investors are particularly worried about supplies from <span style="font-weight: bold;">Nigeria,</span> which produces the higher quality crude needed in the United States to meet the demand that is expected to increase during the upcoming summer driving season. This month, five police officers guarding an oil terminal in Nigeria were killed by armed militants, who aim to damage exports from the oil-rich Niger Delta.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Shell</span> said attacks in <span style="font-weight: bold;">Nigeria</span> had halted 164,000 barrels of oil-equivalent a day of production in the country. Voser said Shell planned to invest up to $27 billion to add one million barrels a day of production.<br /><br />To improve earnings, <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 204, 0);">Tony Hayward, </span>who succeeded John Browne as chief executive of <span style="font-weight: bold;">BP</span> last year, is focusing on restoring production capacity and finding new projects. <span style="font-weight: bold;">BP</span> began oil production at the <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 153, 102);">Deep Water Gunashli field</span> in the in the <span style="font-weight: bold;">Azerbaijan</span> section of the <span style="font-weight: bold;">Caspian Sea</span> this month and expects its Thunder Horse production platform in the <span style="font-weight: bold;">Gulf of Mexico, </span>which cost more than $1 billion to build, to start production this year following a three-year delay. The company also completed some repairs at its plant in Whiting, Indiana, and the <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 204, 51);">Texas City refinery,</span> where an explosion killed 15 people in 2005.<br /><br />Edward Westlake, an analyst at Credit Suisse in London, said that the earnings were "strong" and that the "<span style="font-style: italic; color: rgb(255, 153, 0);">results have captured increases in oil and gas pricing, while keeping costs increases muted</span>."<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">BP</span> and <span style="font-weight: bold;">Shell</span> are both trying to regain investor confidence damaged by delays and higher costs associated with new projects last year. In the case of BP, a lack in safety measures led to the Texas explosion. Hayward pledged to remove layers of bureaucracy to make managers more accountable for their businesses and improve efficiency.<br /><br />Oil companies are also under pressure to find new projects to grow as its traditional fields age. They are also facing competition with state-run oil companies in <span style="font-weight: bold;">Russia</span> and the Middle East.<br /><br />Other oil companies that profited from higher prices included <span style="font-weight: bold;">ConocoPhillips,</span> whose first-quarter profit rose 17 percent to $4.14 billion. <span style="font-weight: bold;">ExxonMobil</span>, the world's largest oil company, is set to report its figures May 1, followed the next day by <span style="font-weight: bold;">Chevron</span>.<br /></div><br /><span style="font-size:78%;">Source: <a href="http://www.iht.com/">International Herald Tribune</a>| by By Julia Werdigier</span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><script src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~s/baja-EnergyBlog-laveaga?i={$entrydata.url|escape:url}" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script></div>Staff Writerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01595895436414092599noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21987184.post-51862507734969619282008-05-05T20:37:00.006+02:002008-05-15T07:39:26.310+02:00[OiL FUTURES] Supply worries send oil past $120 for first time<div style="text-align: justify;"><a href="http://blog.bajaenergy.com/2006_06_01_archive.html"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Oil futures</